With the New Year approaching on the Gregorian calendar, and inspired partially by Gard’s (The Linux Gamer) prediction video…
Here we make predictions for Tech in 2020. They can be positive, negative, wishful thinking, whatever.
I’ll start…
Given controversy surround Richard Stallman and the GNU project, Linux distros will begin moving away from GNU Utilities in an effort to distance themselves.
OpenMandriva is currently the only distro shipping Linux built with Clang, since support is still fairly new. I predict more distros, including at least one major distro will switch to Clang to build their Linux kernels in 2020.
Other projects might see replacement (rsync, OpenSSL) but dropping GCC on Linux will be the major event.
A discreet PCIe GPU will be released by a company that is not Nvidia, Intel, or AMD. It will not be intended for mass market, but will be very exciting for developers and hobbyist hackers.
Fingers crossed that it’s a Risc-V based, but it could be some kind of ARM frankenstien.
Linux use by pure install count will fall.
Desktop Linux use will continue minimal growth, as we’ve seen over the past few years. But the total number of Linux kernel installs will decrease.
Google pushing Fuschia or some similar alternative to mobile and embedded devices will be the reason.
What are your predictions for 2020 in the tech world?
Ryzen 4000 is gonna come out in the second half, probably Q4 and will just be a refinement of ZEN2. It’s still gonna wreck Intel’s 10000 series which will be out earlier. Z490 will be more of the same, boring standard stuff and the last chance for Intel to make bank from thunderbolt. X670 will get rid of the chipset fans again and will be the first platform to include USB4.
Big Navi is gonna be out in Q2 at 2080Ti performance for way less money.
Nvidia is gonna launch second gen RTX shortly after that and charge 1500,- for the flagship. That card is gonna be stupid fast though and will make first gen RTX buyers look a bit silly.
No DDR5 or PCIe5 on the desktop in 2020.
Somehow ASRock is gonna come out with a TRX40 ITX board, so we will see 64 core systems in DAN cases. (Yes, it’s a joke. But I kinda wanna see that. )
Half-Life Alyx is gonna be GOTY and will become the main system seller for all of VR. (That’s kinda cheating because that is already happening but it’s gonna get real crazy, I think.)
I’m kinda curious if X670 or whatever the chip is going to be called will still be on am4,
or that we are going to see am4+ boards with likely no backwards compatibility just like with TR.
The Oracle Vs Google on API will be settled but it will go towards Oracle and APIs are copyrightable. - not what i want to see
AMD will continue to take market share from Intel. Intel will rethink its spot in the video card market do to bad devices and lack of product on launch
Intel will have CPU shortages till Q4 of 2020.
AI will lead to a data security breach, due to comprise or bad setup.
AI in baseball will not go more then 2 months before people want it gone and it will be shelved.
Edge browser built off of chromium will be the number 2 browser.
Netflix will close up shop by the end of the year, or be bought out by Amazon.
NVIDIA will release open source drivers, which will cause Linux/AMD users to scramble into damage control mode in order to come up with new excuses that Green Brand Bad.
Microsoft will release another operating system with the Linux kernel, likely on ARM or their Surface line, to test their DE/GUI with the kernel and win32.
WSL 2 and Microsoft’s continued work with Docker and Kubernetes will bring more Mac users to Windows. In retaliation, Apple will release a bracket for your USB-C cable that is $899.99
Linus Torvalds will retire.
ARM64 will achieve double digit market across cloud providers.
Ubuntu Pro will become the third most used operating system on AWS, next to Amazon Linux and RHEL.
Windows 10 will create a new branch, targeted for Chromebook-like devices, in order to capitalize on the dumb terminal/minimal market share.
B550 boards i still doubt that we are going to see them.
But it’s about time that they would release some.
Because yeah buying a 200+ x570 board for a Ryzen3 or 5 cpu,
or one of the apu’s is kinda hard to justify.
Good estimation, I would hazard you’re 3-4 years early though.
That will be exciting.
AMD is raising their prices as well. I reject this argument.
Except for their gpus.
My predictions?
consoles provide framerates and texture quality on par with mid-range PCs. (rx580/1650ish)
amd/novideo are forced to lower prices in response to above
DNS or AS numbers become a primary attack point for state sponsored hacking.
vr doesn’t do well outside half life alyx.
China releases a competitive arm cpu aimed at desktop/laptop markets. Despite performance and battery life, it doesn’t take off except with enthusiasts.
social media remains insecure, more data is exposed online.
I would think it’s still gonna be AM4. New socket for a refresh is an Intel move.
I don’t think those would make sense. If you don’t want to go high end, you probably don’t need PCIe4.
Also it is a good move to show board vendors that AMD products can make good money. That way they probably won’t skimp out on those anymore compared to the Intel counter parts.
I ment to say a 16 core entry level cpu.
Of course we can only hope haha.
It’s kinda a bad move in my opinion from AMD to,
not come with an entry level 16 core cpu for TRX40.
Because there are still people who need,
more pci-e lanes but cannot afford a $1400,- cpu.
So yeah in that regards you are pretty much out of luck.
Unless you want to buy into an EOL dead platform x399.
Also yeah why do entry level TRX40 boards who cost less then like $500,- exists.
When the cheapest cpu available for it already costs like $1400,-?
I mean what is the point of those cheaper feature gimped boards,
when there won’t be a gimped entry level cpu to trow on it right?
I mean come on AMD there is still room for a 16 core 3958X,
Threadripper cpu at $700,-
I mean there are likely plenty of faulty 3960X cpu’s,
that fall off the production line who don´t meet up to spec,
and could be repurposed for a 16 core cpu.
)
