I’m really not sure how the fork is going to end up.
I used to take it as granted that 2x will succeed, but I’m not so sure about it anymore. The miner support is dropping and the NY agreement is nothing you can take too srsly. Anybody can just drop out without any consequences.
It’s a shame that every party tries to hold as much power over bitcoin as possible.
Without replay protection it might be very difficult for the minority chain to survive and you will end up with a sole Bitcoin that will have dropped in price during the fork and possibly no improvement at all.
But I honestly believe that bitcoin needs a blocksize increase. The transaction cost is very high and the unconfirmed tx are just too many. 4 -7 tx/s isn’t enough. Other Coins like Dash will greatly benefit from it.
It’s probably just a matter of who increases the blocksize. Cause the whole ‘it’s untested’ argument can’t really be taken seriously when you see BCH working with 4x the Blocksize of 2x
But the blocksize increase will always only be a temporary solution. In the very long run I doubt it’s gonna work out when you have Terrabytes of blockchain data. Maybe snapshots similar to IOTA can solve that issue?
I might just sell 30% of my current bitcoins. I believe it would make a lot of sense to put them into altcoins, as they have been dropping a lot with the rapid rise of BTC price.